Next Election: May 2015 (at the latest)
Company/Institution: ICM for Guardian
Publication: 16 September 2013
Field Period: 13-15 September 2013
Sample Size: 1000
Note: Comparison with ICM poll of August 2013
Related posts:
United Kingdom General Election: 24 Oct 2013 poll
United Kingdom General Election: 17 Oct 2013 poll
United Kingdom General Election: 4-22 Oct 2013 Polls
United Kingdom General Election: Voting Intention Trends, January-September 2013
Difference in Average Vote Intention between Labour Party and Conservative Party, January-September 2013
Trouble with these polls, as always, is that given the First Past the Post system, what it can actually tell us is surely very little unless it’s properly stratified by constituency.
It is a little surprising that Labour are trending upwards given all the recent events and bad publicity they’ve been getting, mind.
You are absolutely right about the usefulness of stratified by consituency polls.
However, vote intention at a national level is still a useful indicator of political trends.